Another day, and another trip down variance lane. Played my 100 hands in the early evening yesterday and ended up adding some dough to the bankroll overall... but not as much as I would have liked. The swings in this game are impressive, as are the heart palpitations. Omaha is a game where you often have nuts one moment in a hand, and something entirely different the next. I'm slowing learning that when the opp bets hard into me suddenly on a later street, and I don't have the absolute nuts, I need to really, seriously, no-shit consider folding. This is even if I have a very strong hand. Here's an example:
Full Tilt Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($23.03) SB ($4.65) BB ($8.44) Hero (UTG) ($11.68) MP ($9.74) CO ($4.28)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8, J, 9, Q Hero calls $0.10, 1 fold, CO calls $0.10, 1 fold, SB calls $0.05, BB checks
Flop: ($0.40) 3, J, 10 (4 players) SB checks, BB bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds
Turn: ($1.20) 7 (2 players) BB bets $0.60, Hero raises to $2.40, BB calls $1.80
River: ($6) 3 (2 players) BB bets $5.54 (All-In), Hero calls $5.54
Total pot: $17.08 | Rake: $1.13
Results: BB had Q, 10, J, J (full house, Jacks over threes). Hero had 8, J, 9, Q (straight, Jack high).
Outcome: BB won $15.95
Summary: I was loving life when the seven hit on the turn, giving me the nuts. Unfortunately, I'm not a good enough player yet to lay down my hand on the river when the board paired and the opp fired into me. I recognized the possibility of the full house, but I had to see for me myself that I was beat. Dumb. (The other mistake was not raising preflop, which is a mistake here, but I don't think the end result would have changed; i.e., with QJJT double suited, the opp wasn't going anywhere PF, and when he hit top set on the flop, he was entrenched in place....) (oh, and the other mistake I made was not raising to full pot on the turn, thereby charging the opp the full amount to see the river and make his boat. Instead, I was trying to entice the villain to come along. Said another way, slow playing in Omaha is just as bad as in Hold'em.)
Okay, that said, the good news is that I ended in the black for the session. In fact, I'm up overall (barely) for the first three days of the experiment, with $8.50 in total profit for 12.5 ptbb/100. I'm playing fairly loose (31% vpip) for the 6max tables, which is probably a little high, but not horrible. What's bad, however, is my pfr of just 11%. Can you say "loose-passive?" Hmmm.... now that I write this, I don't actually know if I'm playing too passively or not. I probably am (as evidenced by example hand, above), but in some other situations I've been in they might actually have dictated this high vpip:pfr ratio. Dunno. The problem, still, is one of small sample sizes. I've got to do some more digging in my PT3 stats.... and get a lot more hands under my belt. More to come....
All-in for now....
-Bug
Full Tilt Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($23.03) SB ($4.65) BB ($8.44) Hero (UTG) ($11.68) MP ($9.74) CO ($4.28)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8, J, 9, Q Hero calls $0.10, 1 fold, CO calls $0.10, 1 fold, SB calls $0.05, BB checks
Flop: ($0.40) 3, J, 10 (4 players) SB checks, BB bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds
Turn: ($1.20) 7 (2 players) BB bets $0.60, Hero raises to $2.40, BB calls $1.80
River: ($6) 3 (2 players) BB bets $5.54 (All-In), Hero calls $5.54
Total pot: $17.08 | Rake: $1.13
Results: BB had Q, 10, J, J (full house, Jacks over threes). Hero had 8, J, 9, Q (straight, Jack high).
Outcome: BB won $15.95
Summary: I was loving life when the seven hit on the turn, giving me the nuts. Unfortunately, I'm not a good enough player yet to lay down my hand on the river when the board paired and the opp fired into me. I recognized the possibility of the full house, but I had to see for me myself that I was beat. Dumb. (The other mistake was not raising preflop, which is a mistake here, but I don't think the end result would have changed; i.e., with QJJT double suited, the opp wasn't going anywhere PF, and when he hit top set on the flop, he was entrenched in place....) (oh, and the other mistake I made was not raising to full pot on the turn, thereby charging the opp the full amount to see the river and make his boat. Instead, I was trying to entice the villain to come along. Said another way, slow playing in Omaha is just as bad as in Hold'em.)
Okay, that said, the good news is that I ended in the black for the session. In fact, I'm up overall (barely) for the first three days of the experiment, with $8.50 in total profit for 12.5 ptbb/100. I'm playing fairly loose (31% vpip) for the 6max tables, which is probably a little high, but not horrible. What's bad, however, is my pfr of just 11%. Can you say "loose-passive?" Hmmm.... now that I write this, I don't actually know if I'm playing too passively or not. I probably am (as evidenced by example hand, above), but in some other situations I've been in they might actually have dictated this high vpip:pfr ratio. Dunno. The problem, still, is one of small sample sizes. I've got to do some more digging in my PT3 stats.... and get a lot more hands under my belt. More to come....
All-in for now....
-Bug
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