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Showing posts with label wsop preparation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wsop preparation. Show all posts

Friday, May 3, 2013

Countdown: 6 Weeks.... Yikes!

Looked at the calendar this morning and realized I'm exactly 6 weeks away from the $1K Seniors WSOP NLHE event. Holy. Crap. Six weeks. That's just forty two days. That ain't a lot of time, folks...

I've been off-track about preparing (and blogging) the past month or so, and now it's panic time. Unfortunately, biz travel has been kicking my butt again, and it's not going to get any better, at least not in the short term. I just got back from a very tiring two week European trip, and I'm heading back out westward across the Pacific again in a week for another long period away. Following that, fortunately, I'm finished with travel until after the WSOP. Whew.

Family health stuff have also piled themselves on top of my motivation. Oh, and I've got a leaky roof to fix, a busted kitchen cabinet drawer, the watering system in the front of the house seems to have gone haywire, yardwork that has piled up, etc...

Yeah, yeah, yeah. Quack, quack, quack.

So, what's the plan moving forward? Good question. Here's what I've got:
  1. Stamina. First and foremost on the list, believe it or not, has to be getting my butt in shape. I've been dabbling for months with a healthier lifestyle, but it's time to turn up the heat. My family history has a lot of blood sugar issues (hypoglycemia, diabetes, etc). Sadly, I'm no exception, with frequent energy crashes after even modestly large meals. The good news is that I've discovered that if I'm below a certain weight, my body is much more forgiving. If I'm to sit up and pay attention in a high PF WSOP event six weeks from now, I've got to do everything I can to help my stamina. Ergo, serious diet and exercise time, folks. The good news is I've been exercising fairly consistently, even on travel. The bad news is the diet side of things, which, frankly, is much more important for health. We are what we eat, so I've got to get serious about watching what I eat. I've got ~10 pounds to lose between now and then...
  2. Practice. With almost no opportunities to play serious live poker between now and then, I'm not sure how I'm going to get enough seat time to improve. I am still playing a little online, but I think that actually can be counterproductive if I overdo it. DD Poker has been a staple of just practicing starting hands vs. blind levels and stack sizes, but that ain't real poker either. I think I'm just stuck in this area.
  3. Strategy. I am watching videos, which is a really good thing for me personally. Plus I'm re-re-reading the Winning Poker Tournament books series for the third time. These are really good reads, and there is a ton of information contained in even the most simple of hand analyses. Another thing I want to do in this area is re-write (so that a) it's fresh in my mind; and b) so that it's as complete as possible) my preflight checklist. The plan is to pull this out regularly during breaks and refresh myself on what I should be doing, etc. 
  4. Other. Still have to send in my registration check, but I've got airline tickets and hotel reservations made. In the next few weeks, I'm going to scour the forums for additional tips and tricks to make my stay as smooth and uneventful as possible (e.g., what exactly should I bring with me to the table?). 
More to come. I hope.


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, March 24, 2013

WSOP-2013: Week #30

It's Sunday, so time for a recap of this past week's progress for the 2013 WSOP:

Executive Summary: Not much going on the WSOP prep front these days. Dunno, but a kind of poker malaise has hit me lately. Well, let me rephrase that: I'm a little bored playing much poker these days, but I am still enjoying reading/studying it. Weird. This is very much the opposite of what usually takes place with me; i.e., I usually play more than I study, but lately it's the opposite.
  • Strategy Books Read: Actually read a book by Daniel Negreanu that wasn't horrible. Most of the previous stuff I've read by him isn't the most well-organized or solid advice written, but this book (Hold'em Wisdom For All Players) isn't half bad. Granted, it's a simple little "advice" book, and not very meaty, but there were a few nuggets of information I found thought-provoking. Also, I'm reading James McManus' history of poker tome Cowboys Full just for fun. It's a big, dense read, but fascinating nonetheless. First intro chapter is on poker and presidents. Amazing how many US POTUSs have played the game for profit and/or relaxation and/or networking. This includes the present office holder. Obama in fact is said to be a very solid player, employing a fairly TAggish game and usually leaving a winner to the game.
  • Videos Watched: None watched.
  • Fitness:
    • Diet: Horrible week on the diet front, eating all kinds of things I shouldn't have.
    • Exercise: Did OK on this front. Walking, bodyweight exercises, stretching, etc..
  • Tournament/SnG Results:
    • Online: None played.
    • Live: None played

All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, February 24, 2013

WSOP-2013: Week #26


It's Sunday, so time for a recap of this past week's progress for the 2013 WSOP:
  • Strategy Books Read:
    • Read a half dozen hands from WPT V1. The big lesson (which is the same from last week) is that, next to position, opp stack sizes are perhaps the most important thing to keep track of in an MTT.
    • Read 4-5 hands from Phil Gordon's Little Blue Book. It's kind of a facile read, but there are also some actual nuggets of pretty good information to be found in the book.
  • Videos Watched:
    • I watched 5 videos from Tournament Poker Edge this week., including some 3bet theory, blind-vs-blind how-to's, another Andrew Brokos awful/great video (on extracting value), and a couple of hand history replays.
  • Fitness:
    • Diet: Business trips (two of them). Need I say more?
    • Exercise: Actually did OK on this front, forcing myself to walk from the hotel to/from the office each day on one of my trips, which meant I got in 12 miles. Also did some body- and free-weight exercises.
  • Tournament/SnG Results:
    • Online: Played one deep stack, high-PF online big MTT event online-- and final tabled it after a five hour battle! Got unlucky on the end when my JJ was beaten by A9o, but what are you going to do? I ended up busting in seventh place in a field that started with over 200 very good runners. Tough fight, but by focusing on stack sizes, position, and being cautious, I was able to make a lot of good plays and lay-downs... and therefore go very deep.
    • Live: None played.
  • Other: Blogged a little, played some DD poker (I've modeled a couple of WSOP 2013 events based on their actual listed structures), and worked a little on my MTT check-list.
Summary: This week is going to be just as tough as last week, as I'm away from home yet again. Sigh. At least I'm getting some video watching time on all the airplanes. Sigh again.


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, February 17, 2013

WSOP-2013: Week #25


It's Sunday, so time for a recap of this past week's progress for the 2013 WSOP:
  • Strategy Books Read:
    • WPT: OHaaT. Continue reading these excellent books. Also blogged twice this week on one hand from V1 here and here. If I can sum the lessons of many of the hands in one word, it would be: Prunes!
    • Picked up a couple of poker books at my local used bookstore. One is Phil Gordon's Little Blue Book, with advice on MTT play. The other is Negreanu's Hold'em Wisdom For All Players. While I'm not really a fan of Neagreanu's writing, this one actually didn't look half bad when I thumbed through it. Plus I had a lot of trade credit with the store, so it essentially cost me zero. I'll put this latter book on the shelf for now, but I'll probably take a few hours and read through Gordon's book for the hell of it.
  • Videos Watched:
    • Broko's Hand Reading #3: Good material. Very amateurish production. He screwed up a hand-made hand history in the replayer; the customer is supposed to just ignore the wrong graphics and imagine what happened in the hand. Does Brokos not realize that guys like me actually paid money for these videos? Spend five extra minutes and fix the damn thing, already. But, like I said, very meaty material and good info. Just frustrating as hell to watch.
  • Fitness:
    • Diet: Mostly a good boy this week, though the wife and I did go out yesterday afternoon for some Five Guys Burgers and fries, then came home and watched a bunch of videos on the couch, eating chips and chocolate. Back on the wagon today, however... but it's going to be tough, as I'm jetting off this morning on a week-long biz trip.
    • Exercise: Most of the week was still spent recovering from the creeping crud flu/cold/nastiness, so I wasn't super motivated to exercise. Did walk a couple of days (while listening to poker podcasts, of course), did a few minutes on the elliptical machine one day, and yesterday morning I did a light free weight routine. 
  • Tournament/SnG Results:
    • Online: Played some SnGs, and made just a few bucks. Nothing to blog home about, however.
    • Live: Played in my monthly local tournament. Twenty-five runners started, and I finished in seventh, three from the money. My bust out hand was a really stupid play on my part. (I clearly forgot the mantra of, "Prunes!") We're at the final table. I had about 12 big blinds, Q9s on button, and I open raised on a semi-steel. BigBlind/BigStack called. Flop was AAQ. Check check. Turn is a blank. He leads for min bet. I shove. He snap calls with A-2. Don't know what I was thinking; he's only going to call with better here. Dumb. Otherwise played very good poker. I did win the last-longer bet with I was in with the crew, which helped offset some of sting of near-bubbling.
  • Other: Damn biz trip this week to Pasadena, then across the Pacific next week. Gotta find time to exercise, eat right, and play some serious poker... but I'm not holding my breath.
Summary: Holy crap, this is already week #25 of prep. That's essentially half a year. Some weeks have been definitely worse than others on this journey, but I do feel that overall my technique and skills have improved. I think the two biggest factors for this are: a) the book series Winning Poker Tournaments: One Hand at a Time; and b) MTT Hand History videos. Yes, playing has helped, but I don't feel I've gotten enough direct seat time to really make a big difference on that front; definitely an area that needs improvement in this last few months leading up to the big event.


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, February 10, 2013

WSOP-2013: Week #24

It's Sunday, so time for a recap of this past week's progress for the 2013 WSOP:
  • Strategy Books Read:
    • Wining Poker Tournament: One Hand at a Time, Vol 1: Got through a dozen or so hands this week in volume 1. A lot of good information buried within each hand, but perhaps the biggest repeating lesson I keep reading is the one about paying close attention to the size of your opponents chip stacks. Over and over again, the authors are remarking on the number of big blinds their opps have, how likely they are to re-shove, how desperate they are, whether they have enough left behind to fold to a 3bet, and so on.  This ties in strongly with Snyder's admonition in PTF1 that unless you're constantly putting yourself in the head of your opponents vis-a-vis their stack size, you don't have a prayer of winning a big poker tournament. A poker tournament is a continual rock-paper-scissors affair, but substitute chips-cards-position for the traditional Roshambo items. 
  • Videos Watched:
    • Watched 4-5 TPE videos, including some hand histories by Big Dog Pocket Fives. His main lesson he imparts for deepstack MTT poker is that you can't go wrong folding too much in the early stages of an MTT. When in doubt, fold. Build an image and conserve your stack, yada yada... alas, this runs counter to Snyder's advice that you have to accumulate chips, especially in the early stages of an MTT, or you're doomed to lose too much chip utility as the blinds progress. As usual, this bug is more than a little confused...
  • Fitness:
    • Diet: Basically lots of broths and liquids this week, as I was (and still am) under the weather with a nasty bronchial infection that won't die.
    • Exercise: Unless you count restless sleep and fitful naps as exercise, I scored an "F" this week on the exercise front.
  • Tournament/SnG Results:
    • Online: Only played a couple of MTTs and three SnGs, and of these I only took second in one of the SnGs. Not a great week, but being sick like I am, I really can't expect much better.
    • Live: None played.
  • Other: 
    • Blog Posts. Blogged about c-betting vs. giving your opponent a chance to bluff here. Also blogged about not playing when sick here. Otherwise, it was a slow week.
    • RSS Feed. I've been told that my RSS feed isn't working properly on this blog by one reader. Has anyone else had this issue? Are you getting notices that I've posted? And, perhaps more importantly, have you had a similar issue with your own blog and/or know how to fix a faulty RSS feed? Google's help forums are remarkably, well, un-helpful on this subject. Drop me a line at bugeyebug@gmail.com if you can help. I'd really appreciate it.
Summary: Being sick sucks. As my mother-in-law likes to say, "When your health is suffering, little else in your life matters." That's how I've felt all week long, and frankly I don't feel much better this bright Sunday morning. Ugh. Need to get better soon.


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, January 27, 2013

WSOP-2013: Week #22


It's Sunday, so time for a recap of this past week's progress for the 2013 WSOP:
[Note: this is the new format for my weekly recaps. Hopefully, it will be more useful to me than the old format, which was slowly but surely turning into a lot of cash game stuff and little actual MTT prep. The idea is to simplify, prioritize, and focus the remaining few months leading up to the WSOP specifically on MTT play...]
  • Strategy Books Read: 
    • Poker Tournament Formula, V2. Bought the Kindle version, and then (re)started back in on this book, which focuses on higher patience factor events, like the WSOP MTTs. So far in the early chapters, the book focuses on something called the Chip Utility Factor of a tournament, which is related to, but not quite the same thing, as a PF. As I mentioned before in an earlier blog post, Snyder takes conventional wisdoms about poker tournaments, and turns them on their head. Take for example his Fundamental Law of Chip Utility, which states, "The more chips you have, the more each of your chips are worth" and "A chip you win is worth more than a chip you lose." Argh. This is so contrary to what I've always been taught and understand, I'm not sure if I fully buy it yet. Some deep thinking on this subject is in my future.
    • Winning Poker Tournaments, V3. Reviewed one hand (#7) from the book. The set up is that you're deep in an online event, with a healthy 40 big blinds. Action folds to you in the CO, and the remaining three players to act after you (button and two blinds) each have around 10-12 big blinds (read: unhealthy). You're dealt 66. Unaminous decision by all four authors that a shove is in order, primarily because you do not want to face a reraise if you open smaller, and you want maximize fold equity by putting your opponents to a decision for their tournament lives. Just take it down now with an open shove. Another key point mentioned in PearlJammer's analysis of the hand was about range balancing, in which he wrote, "...because of the limited number of hands you play against other opponents in tournament poker, it is often not necessary or optimal to balance your range..." For this reason, he says that he'd probably min-raise with AA in this same situation and try to induce a reshove. Interesting.
  • Videos Watched: 
    • Brokos' Hand Reading. Watched another thirty minutes of a Brokos hand reading video. Same story with this one: excellent underlying material, horrible presentation that is almost physically painful to watch/listen to. The guy is brilliant, but damn is he boring to listen to. 
    • Hagbard's $1K WSOP HH. I only got 15 minutes into this video, which was a hand history review of a live WSOP event. Again, great and useful material, but incredibly hard to watch, especially when on my elliptical exercise machine. Tiny little fonts for the written out hand histories, stuffed onto one page, droning presentation, etc.. I mean come on, how hard would it be to spend five minutes and put these hands into replayers and actually make it interesting to watch?
  • Fitness Progress: 
    • Exercise. Mixed results this week on the get-my-fat-ass-in-shape front. Been walking most days, plus the wife and I did a couple of mornings of free weight exercises. 
    • Diet. My diet has also been a mixed bag. Did very well yesterday for breakfast and lunch, for example, but then slipped a bit when I came home to find big bowls of chili freshly made, hot tortillas, etc. Biggest issue I've got facing me is that I'm leaving on a jet plane tomorrow morning for a week-long business sojourn to Pacific isle. Diet and exercise both will be in mortal danger. Sigh.
  • Tourney Recap/Results: 
    • Online. Played just one $11 ST SnG and busted mid-pack. Was disappointed in my play, as I focused very well for the first half, built a nice stack, and then started doing other things on the computer and got blinded down. Grrrr.
    • Live. Played in the $160 buy-in Talking Stick event on Saturday. Played very well, but got coolered and sent home with zero dollars to show for the effort. Good time with good company, though. Recap can be found by clicking here.
Summary: Life and work continue to get in the way of serious progress, but my freshened-up reorganization/prep plan that I laid out here seems to have reinvigorated my focus. With the biz trip coming up this week, however, it will be interesting to see how focused I can/will remain.


All-in for now...
-Bug

Friday, January 25, 2013

More Thoughts on Studying for the 2013 WSOP


Depending on which event I decide to play, I have about 20-22 weeks left before I pack up for the drive across the desert to Vegas and the 2013 World Series of Poker. This means only 4-5 months of prep time. Here's how I think I'm going to spend that limited time:
  1. Read Books. As mentioned here, I havae a lot of books to choose from. Based on some time thumbing through all of them last night, as well as some soul searching about my weaknesses and leaks, I think I'm going to concentrate on the following tomes:
    • Tournament Specific:
      • Winning Poker Tournaments, One Hand at a Time, Volumes 1, 2, and 3, by Lynch, et al. I really enjoy these books and this format, but so far I have been just dabbing in and out of them as the mood fits. I now intend to work my way through them linearly, and take copious notes along the way. I will probably do some hand analyses taken directly from these WPT:OHaaT volumes in this blog along the way, too.
      • The Poker Tournament Formula Volume 2, by Snyder. I talked a lot about Snyder's first book (volume 1) in the past, but this second volume is geared toward higher PF tourneys, like the WSOP. I've started reading it previously, but got side-tracked. Time to bring it back to the top of the list and give it another go.
      • Secrets of Professional Tournament Poker, by Little. This one will be read only if I can get through it. It's gotten very good reviews for its technical content, but the two times I've tried to read it before, my eyes glazed over and I found my mind wandering. I think there's some good stuff on bet sizing as a function of position and stack sizes, for instance, but it's a tough, rambling read.
      • ????. I think I've got time for one or two more books on this list. I'm leaving my options open a bit for now on which ones these will be. Suggestions are welcome.
    • Reads and Tells:
      • Reading Poker Tells, by Elwood. Andrew Brokos recently called this book "one of the most helpful poker books I’ve read. Ellwood covers his subject clearly and thoroughly, and his book is well-organized and easy for a player of any ability level to follow. The material isn’t earth-shattering, so if you already consider yourself adept at reading your opponents, you might not have a lot to gain. For relatively inexperienced live players like myself, though, there’s no better resource for learning to decipher your opponents’ behavior." I've skimmed the book, and it seems very readable and full of good advice. I have the electronic version of this one on both my computer and kindle, so I might start in on it Monday morning during a long biz trip flight I'll be on that day.
      • How to Read Hands at NLHE, by Miller. This one is geared toward cash games, which is Miller's specialty, but I believe many of the concepts can be carried over to tourney play.
      • ????. Perhaps the most important technical skill an intermediate to advanced player can have at the table is putting your opponent on a hand range and line. Ergo, I'm leaving room in my schedule for a third book in this subject area. I don't quite know which one, however.
    • Emotional/Tilt/Psychology:
      • Your Worst Poker Enemy, by Schoonmaker. I've skimmed this book before, and I think it's got some serious merit to a player like myself. This is the biggest unknown of all the books on my list, however, as to its true usefulness.
  2. Watch Training Videos. I have over 1800 videos to choose from my library. Of these, 100 or so were downloaded this month from the Tournament Poker Edge website. These are all aimed squarely at MTT play, so I'll work my way through as many per week as I can from this pile, and ignore all the others in my vast, rambling collection.
  3. Fitness. Time to get serious(er) about the diet. I'm doing fairly well on the exercise front, but from all I've read on the subject, the aspect of one's health that is controllable (i.e., non-hereditary/genetic) is ~80% diet and ~20% exercise (not including environmental concerns). Business trips threaten (as always) to derail this undertaking, but if want to have even a prayer of enough stamina to outlast a couple thousand other runners in Vegas, I have to get going hard on this front. My plan of attack is as follows:
    • "Primal" Diet. Over the years, I've found that my body works best on a relatively low carb intake of calories. I sleep better at night, have less heartburn, am more alert, cholesterol and blood pressure are better... and I lose weight very easily. The trick, however, is passing up things like beer, donuts, and pizza, all of which I enjoy partaking. It has to be a lifestyle change, and not a "diet" if I want to implement this approach. Check out Mark's Daily Apple if you're interested in knowing more about this approach.
    • Exercise. I currently walk 1-2 miles every day, and my wife and I do morning free weight exercises together ~3x per week. I also occasionally jump on my elliptical machine for some aerobic work. All of these are good in quality, but not sufficient in quantity. Said another way: I need to keep doing what I'm doing, but increase the frequency and duration of all. 
  4. Play Lots of Poker.
    • Online. I'm going to continue playing on Carbon/Coal for now, but I'm going shopping for a new site, too (see this post here for why). I'm also going to try to dial the cash games way back to close to zero, too, and get in lots of SnGs and MTTs.  Yes, I've built a decent 'roll playing cash, but the goal for the next 4-5 months is to master MTTs, and that isn't going to happen if I continue playing mostly ring games.
    • Live. Between now and June, I can get in 3-4 more trips up to the big city  for their last-Saturday-of-the-month tourney they hold (described here). I also can play in at least one local live event per month, plus I might try getting in another one every month, too. This would mean 2-3x live events per month, or somewhere between 8 and 15 live events prior to the WSOP. Not as many as I'd like, but it's better than nothing.
  5. Blog, blog, blog. I'll also of course continue blogging Bug Tips, Hand Analyses, I Love Poker Math, and the random rant and ramble here, too, as I believe writing down my thoughts, experiences, and lessons-learned throughout the years has helped my game immeasurably. The focus, however, has to shift to almost primarily tournament play.
Finally, I'm going to continue my Sunday recap/rehash blog post of my progress, but I'm simplifying the reporting to just match the five categories above, no more, no less. The name of the game is simplification and prioritization. Wish me luck, as time is getting short...


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, December 30, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week #18

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. Did a decent job of reviewing my preflight checklist prior to playing each day this week. It makes a difference.
    • Postgame. Didn't really do any serious post-mortems, but I did review my final few hands of the one online MTT I played in; i.e., I spent a lot of time after the game wondering if I could have done anything differently to move from second place finish up to first. Answer: no, not really.
    • Off-Table.
      • Hand-of-the-Day. Voted in every HotD and agreed 100% with the majority voters.
      • Blog Entries. Blogged a fair bit this week, as I was off work and had some free time.
      • Books. Am continuing jumping around from book to book, not really focusing on one in particular, but hitting lots of different ones as the mood strikes. One of these is Small Stakes No Limit Hold'em by Miller, Mehta, and Flynn; I'm really enjoying this one. I'm also finding Your Worst Poker Enemy by Schoonmaker to be a fun read.
      • Videos. Zip watched, though I did download the latest Splitsuit video from the Poker Bank.
      • Podcasts. Listened to a couple of podcasts on my drive to Scottsdale yesterday for an out of town MTT.
      • Health. Yikes. Stood on the scales this morning. It's been a bad couple of weeks...
      • Other. Zip.
  • Technique:
    • Preflop. Nothing significant to report here; I'm playing a pretty good preflop game.
    • REDi. Same story here; no significant leaks postflop to report. I didn't really actively work ont his area, either.
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control. Got a little tilty at my one live MTT due to a late start, but otherwise was fine.
    • BRM. No issues to report.
    • Discipline. Played quite solidly and with good focus.
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). Played one $22 online MTT and took second place for $240.
  • Tournaments (Live). Played one $160 live MTT and busted well before the bubble.
  • Cash Games. Another solid week, with exactly $100 added to the 'roll. About half of this came from PLO, which I'm dabbling more and more with these days, an which I'm finding pretty soft. Anyway, here's the entire month graph for December (total cash winnings: $500); hopefully I'll repeat this trend in January:

Summary: In general a pretty good week. I played a live event, and even though I busted out, it was good to get my hands on real cards for the first time in weeks. Also am quite pleased with the one online MTT I played. And my cash game has never been more solid.


All-in for now...
-Bug

Saturday, December 29, 2012

Wincing and Treading Water Combined: Talking Stick MTT


Drove up to Talking Stick Resort in Scottsdale this morning for a try at their "Last Saturday of the Month" tournament....

....and you can stop reading now if you like happy endings....

Talking Stick is about a two hour drive from my house, and on the last Saturday of every month they hold a pretty decent tournament with a good structure. Including add-ons, the buy-in is $160 and starts you at T7500 in chips. The blind structure is also pretty good, with a relatively high Patience Factor of around 9, which according to Snyder's method, means the tourney puts a premium on skill over luck. Sounds good, right? Uh, huh. Let me explain.

Given that the casino is 2 full hours away by car, I left 3 hours early to drive up. There was some unusually heavy traffic, but I still made it to the cashier's cage a full 45 minutes ahead of time... but they said I didn't have a Players Card, so would have to go to another part of the casino to sign up first, which I dutifully did, and which only took twenty minutes or so, but by the time I got back, the line at the cashiers cage now extended a full hundred people deep...

To make a long story short, they had a record turn out, and I ended up getting on the alternate list with about two hundred other wannabes. The tournament then started, and we all stood around the periphery, waiting for already seated players to die off. I was semi-fortunate in that I only missed the first three blind levels, but even that took a serious bite out of my playing power. By the time I sat down, the blinds were wrapping up the 100/200 level, and my once potent T7500 stack meant that I now had an M of just 25 or so. Not terrible, but certainly not as good as I wanted for the big buy-in price. In other words, because of my inability to arrive 2+ hours ahead of time, the tournament went from a PF of 9 to the functional equivalent of 3 or 4. Suddenly luck was a much bigger factor than skill....

...and worse, the players at the table I'd sat at had all been there since the start, feasting on the dead money that was leaving open seats. In other words, not only did I start a small M, but my opponents all essentially had double-up sized stacks by now. They'd also been reading each other for three previous blind levels, and were definitely in the groove. Meanwhile, I'm pissed at myself, tilty, frazzled, and am at a significant chip disadvantage from the start. Sigh.  Anyway, here's the few high (low?) lights of the experience:
  • One orbit of folding crap hands and I finally pick up a playable pair of tens UTG+2. I open for 3x, action folds around, but the SB shoves over the top on me. It folds to me. I ask for a count, but the reality is there is no way I can call for my tournament life on, at best, a coinflip. I fold.
  • More folding cheese for two orbits, then I pick up 88 in the big blind. An UTG player opens for 4x, the UTG+1 min-raises, and then the button shoves again. I sigh and fold again... and then wince when the flop comes AA8.
  • Two hand later, I get AJ on the button. Action fold to me, I open for 3x and get two folds out of the blinds.
  • Blinds are now 150/300 and I'm down to T6500. Two new players arrive at the table and are super aggro. Table is 10-handed, and I fold KQs UTG. Flop of course comes KXX with two to my suit and I wince again. I try to remind myself that it was a good fold given the table dynamics, but it still hurts as I focus on the results. Argh.
  • Few hands later I'm on the button with KJ suited. Action folds to the short stack CO who open shoves. I contemplate iso-raising, as this guy's been pretty loose and his range is quite wide, but of the corner of my eye I see the BB counting his chips out getting ready to call. I fold. CO turns over KK and BB turns over AA. Board runs out A-Q-T-X-X. Wince again.
  • Blinds are now 200/400 and I'm in the BB with A9o. Action folds to a new player who'd just sat down in the SB. He open raises to T1K, and I insta-re-shove back over the top on him. He tanks for five full minutes, trying to get me to say something. Someone calls the clock. Finally he folds 88 face-up and goes on an all-in shovefest as he melts down. Alas, I get dealt nothing but rags while he tilts away his stack in about five minutes flat.
  • I steal. I bob. I weave. I am treading water.
  • My M is now something like 9 or 10 when I pick up AQo in the HJ seat. Folds to me, I raise to 3x and get everyone to fold.
  • I'm back to treading water, trying to get some kind of purchase on the shifting sandy bottom, but all I'm doing is slowly watching the tide come in deeper and deeper. I'm getting blinded away, tiny bit by tiny bit.
  • Finally a twelve minute break occurs. I'm at the back of the poker room, so by the time I get to the men's restroom there's huge line. I manage to use the facilities, step outside for quick 30-seconds of fresh air, and then back to the table. I last two hands and then get moved to a new table...
  • ...which is a table of snoozing old men. Okay, may I can make something happen here....
  • ...ah, but these are hyper aggressive snoozing old men. Tide is coming in quicker now, and the blinds go up again. We're at 300/600 and I've got just T8K....
  • Then a weird thing happens. The guy directly across from me has the big blind and is texting someone on his phone. There are three limps. I have 44 and consider squeezing, but the wimp in me convinces my hand to overlimp. Action folds to the guy in the blind, who starts reaching for chips, but the dealer reaches out and physically takes his cards out of his hand and pulls his blinds in. He says to the astonished player, "You're using a cell phone, sir, so your hand is dead." "WHAT THE FUCK!?!", the guy yells. Long story short, a fist fight almost starts, the floor was brought over and rules were explained to this guy, who is, to use a polite term, absolutely fucking incensed... and then he gets a time out on top of it for using inappropriate language. Meanwhile the tournament clock is ticking away and every other table in the room is playing poker except us. I make an entry in my little notebook not to check text messages at the table or drop the f-bomb. Then I fold my 44 on an A-T-9 monotone flop when there's a raise and RR in front of me.
  • Rags, rags, and more rags, facing raises, raises, and more raises. I blink and I'm down to T4500 or so and blinds are going up in a few minutes again. I can no longer feel the bottom with my toes and I start swallowing water.
  • Finally. I pick up AKo UTG+1 and think for about twenty-two micro seconds before I open shove. Action folds to button, who tanks, asks for a count three separate times, and then the clock gets called on him. Finally he says, "What the fuck?" and calls with a pair of threes. Board bricks out and I'm sent a'packin'. The guy who won meanwhile gets a one-orbit timeout for using the f-word. Crazy. I think he's more pissed than I am.
  • Drive home on the highway was just as much fun, as I literally got shoved off the road when a big yellow renta-truck doesn't see me and basically changes lanes directly into me. I'm on the shoulder for a few seconds, doing 75mph, watching my life of folding rags at poker tables pass before my eyes, before I can get back on the tarmac. I gun it and pull up beside the knucklehead and proceed to vent ugly through the glass at this clueless preppy dude who clearly has no idea how to drive this monster truck he's just rented. He blows me a kiss. Wince.
  • The tide is now fully in and over my head. I make peace with the deep blue sea and drive the rest of the way home, listening to right-wing-whacko talk radio and trying not to get run over.
The Talking Stick tournament is actually a pretty good one. The facilities are nice, the dealers friendly, the competition pretty decent.... ah, but this is all fine if you get there on time and are deep enough to play some poker. Otherwise, it's frustrating and tilt-inducing. I'm definitely going back again, but this time I'm leaving earlier. Much, much earlier. Maybe there will be fewer winces that way.
All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, December 16, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week # 16

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. This was another tough week due to biz travel, so I essentially did nothing on this front.
    • Postgame. I did spend a little time on HM2 looking at the previous week's results and post-mortem'ing a few key hands from cash games. The only thing significant that jumped out at me was the fact that I seem to dig myself a hole early in almost every session (even if it is a small hole) that I have to climb back out of. In other words, I think I've got a leak in my game in which I tend to get involved too soon in a session without taking the time to make good reads and "tag the cows." Perhaps a preflight check list entry that says to play only premium hands, even in late position, for the first 2-3 orbits of a table, would be a good idea. 
    • Off-Table.
      • Hand-of-the-Day. Read and voted in every HotD this week and had good agreement with the majority of poker players on my answers vs. theirs.
      • Blog Entries. Only time for two blog entries this week: one Bug Tip and the other an older HotD problem that the Guru sent me (here). He and I exchanged a couple of emails on this hand afterward, which got me thinking a little deeper about hand range as a function of bet size; i.e., the Guru asked, "If the villain had come back over the top, would this have changed our [range]?" The answer is yes, it probably would have, because (seemingly paradoxically) a larger 3bet from the bad buy would actually indicate a weaker range, not a stronger one. If villain had 3bet shoved, I'd be more inclined to get it in with JJ than I would against the smaller (but still pot committing) 3bet he did do. Interesting stuff.
      • Books. As before, I'm continuing with the WPT books.
      • Videos. None watched.
      • Podcasts. Had zero time to really listen to any pod casts this week, so I've got 5-6 backlogged again. Need to start walking more with the ear buds plugged in.
      • Health. This was a tough, tough week, with heavy meals and zero exercise. The good news is I'm back on the wagon as of yesterday, and I've got a couple of weeks off on vacation to try to find time to exercise and eat right.
      • Other. Been playing around with DD Poker a bit on airplanes and airports. One of the things I started doing is creating custom tournaments that match some real live ones I'm playing in so that I can practice ahead of time. (Thanks to SolarTed for giving me this idea). So far, I've modeled up a big live tourney I'm planning on playing in at the end of this month, and I'm using the software to fine tune how loose and/or aggressive I should be in each stage. Pretty cool stuff.
  • Technique:
    • Preflop. Been trying out lots of different starting hand stuff in the DD poker software, which has been very enlightening.
    • REDi. My focus in this area this week has been on D is for Decisions, with the emphasis on forcing myself to categorize what I'm trying to do with each hand before acting. If I can't answer that basic question, I'm trying to default my Decision to "Fold."
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control. No real tilt issues to speak of.
    • BRM. Nothing significant to report here.
    • Discipline. Played tired a few times, which caused some swings in the weekly profit. I also played the one SnG this week while trying to do two other things.
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). Played only one $11 6max STSnG, and I busted on the bubble due to a lack of focus. Argh.
  • Tournaments (Live). None played, but with vacation underway, I'm planning on a road trip in a few weeks up to a casino in a nearby town to play in their "Last Saturday of the Month" tourney. It's a moderate ($160 total buy-in) tournament with T5K in starting chips and a pretty good blind structure. Per Snyder's method, I estimate the patience factor of this MTT to be 8.4, which puts it squarely in the "slower, requires much more skill" category. 
  • Cash Games. (Someone asked me recently why I'm still playing cash games if my overall goal is to go deep in a WSOP MTT. Good question, and there's really two answers: first, with all the travel I've been doing, there's been little opportunity to find blocks of time to play even turbo SnGs, so I'm playing cash to at least keep sharp; and second, playing cash games is a consistent way for me to build the 'roll so that I can buy into a WSOP event. Even if I only add $10 bucks to the piggy bank each week it will help.) Anyway, I did play a handful of cash session here and there. Real choppy results, as shown in the following graph. Most of the long downward slides were a result of me playing tired late at night in hotel rooms when I should have been sleeping. Not smart, but I did add $70 to the WSOP bankroll:
Very choppy, swingy results this week, where I relied far too much on showdowns to make money. The bb/100 and dollar per hour rates were similarly inconsistent and off my usual numbers.

Summary: Thankfully, the pre-holiday biz travel has come to an end, and I've now got two weeks of (mostly) vacation lined up. Tons of honey-do  and family stuff, but I should also have some time to get refocused on WSOP preparation. Looking forward to actually having time to slow down and smell the roses for a change.... well, at least until the second week of January, at which point I'm back on the road again for the start of 2013. Ugh.

All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, December 9, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week #15

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. Added a sub-bullet to one of my preflight check list items that reads: "It's OK to call with speculative hands preflop in LP if deep enough, but don't call down postflop. I forgo fold equity this way. Raise or fold!"
    • Postgame. Reviewed a handful of hands I lost from the previous week, but didn't spot anything significant that I did wrong.
    • Off-Table.
      • Forums/Hand-of-the-Day. 
        • Disagreed with the majority vote in a HotD in which you're at a final table of a major event with a moderate chip lead. There are big jumps in payouts. A short stack on the button shoves. SB folds and you're in the BB with A4o. Do you call? I argued fold, but the majority seems to think calling is OK. I believe there are a lot better hands to call this with than a raggy Ace. Ask yourself: what are you trying to achieve with this call? Be the sheriff? Eliminate a player? Increase my stack a small amount? None of these are valid reasons. Folderoo, me thinks. Otherwise I agreed with all the other majority votes in HotD.
        • Found some time to read forums again. I'm mostly giving up on 2+2 for strategy stuff because there seems to be a number of non-qualified posters clogging up what would otherwise be good discussions. (Though I still like some of the other 2+2 subforums, like Poker Theory.) In lieu of 2+2, I'm poking around in the SeatOpen subforums, which are small but good.
      • Blog Entries. Wrote one Bug Tip on minimax, plus started drafting a couple of posts that didn't get finished. 
      • Books. 
        • Read a post by Mason Malmuth on 2+2 that his company is going to be publishing an upcoming book by Dan Harrington called "Harrington on Modern Tournament Poker." I'm definitely buying this book when it comes out (Note what I wrote back in WSOP update #13 on book here about the first three MTT HoH books).
        • Pulled Professional No Limit Hold'em off my book shelf and did a little studying on pot commitment again.
        • Continued hacking away at WPT, V's 1 and 3.
      • Videos. None watched.
      • Podcasts. Played catch-up on some of the 'casts I've stockpiled but not listened to. 
      • Health. Ugh. Stood on the scales of justice this morning and wasn't too pleased. Worse, I've got yet another week-long biz trip starting tomorrow morning, so it's going to be a tough one again... sigh.
      • Other. Played a few short sessions of DD poker for the hell of it.
  • Technique:
    • Preflop. Been experimenting more and more with opening up wider calling ranges preflop with the intention of floating weak-tight players IP on the flop. Made quite a few bucks this week taking down pots when checked to on the turn. Trick is picking the right type of opponent to do this to.
    • REDi. Nada.
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control. Nothing significant to report here.
    • BRM. Now that I cashed out a healthy chunk of dough from my online account, I'm finding it really hard to step down and play in the $10NL games. My achilles heel in the long run, me thinks...
    • Discipline. Dusted off a technique I've used successfully in the past to play really solid poker: talk to yourself aloud when playing as if you're teaching someone else the game. If done right, this will really keep your preflop game on track. E.g,. "I've got Ts8s on the button. A tight EP player min-raised. Blinds are probably going to fold. I'd normally like to call here IP with a deceptive hand, but he's not deep stacked enough to make this +EV. Let's wait for a better spot. Fold."
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). Bad news: Played only one $11 full-ring STSnG the entire week. Good news: Took first place for $45.
  • Tournaments (Live). None played. (This one is starting to worry me a bit, as it's been a few months since I've played live (due to travel); I really need to find some time soon to get in live play.)
  • Cash Games. Cash net gain of about $60. Somewhat choppy/swingy results, with a number of big ups and downs. Had two set-over-set hands, one good, one bad. (Note that my Bug Tip this week was precisely on ignoring these types of big swing cooler hands; it's the long run, mimimax, gradual gain of bucks that matters, not these big variance events). Here's the graph:

Summary: In general a meh week. I'm pretty discouraged that I'm not finding enough time to commit to MTTs or even STSnGs, so I need to work on this. I'm also very discouraged about the anti-progress I'm making on the health front. The good news, however, is that the bankroll is in pretty good shape, and that I'm mostly on track for funding a WSOP trip in June purely by poker profit (knock on wood this continues).


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, December 2, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week #14

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013. This was another rough week of business travel, but overall I didn't do too much damage to my forward progress. As I stated a while ago, my goal for this holiday season is to simply survive it; any progress, improvement, and/or additions to the bankroll are going to be viewed as gravy. With that in mind, here's summary for the week:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. Did some mental warm-ups prior to playing this week in a handful of cash games I played, which paid off. On the flipside, however, I didn’t warm-up the three times I played tournament poker, which definitely didn’t pay off. In one case, I had a couple hours to kill Saturday morning before my flight home, and I just jumped into a big MTT without even really determining whether I had enough time to finish the damn thing. Argh. Went pretty deep, but then had to essentially donk off my chips as it was time to drive to the airport. Can you say Dumb? I can. Dumb.
    • Postgame. Didn’t really do any serious postmortems on hands this week.
    • Off-Table. Nada.
      • Forums/Hand-of-the-Day. Voted in every HotD this week, and again went 7 for 7 in agreeing with the majority of voters (which I assume is better than disagreeing with them!) Didn't, however, read any forum posts or make any comments.
      • Blog Entries. Started a new series of blog entries that analyze selected MTT hands in the WPT book series. The idea with these is to attack a lot of really common situations and hands from WPT V1-V3, such as big slick facing a raise, small pairs facing a 3bet, etc.., so that a) I've fine tuned REDi to be used in MTTs; and b) I'm comfortable with default plays.
      • Books. Read some more of the WPT V3 book. I’m really enjoying the series, and this volume in particular. It's particularly interesting to see how the three pros tend to agree in their analyses of a specific situation, and then read the author's take on the hand, where he often has done the opposite of what the professionals would have done. When he calls, for instance, and everyone else said they would have folded, the pros then analyze the hand as-played, often stating things like "I'm not sure why I'm now play the turn, but given that I must have misclicked and called, here's what I do now...." Fun, informative stuff.
      • Videos. None watched.
      • Podcasts. Listened to one of the Thinking Poker podcasts, plus Bart Hanson’s Macao trip recap. I’m actually behind 3-4 podcasts in the ones that I subscribe to. Travel and other stuff has been eating up the time I normally set aside for walking and podcasting listening.
      • Health. Surprisingly lost half a pound on this trip. I'm still up overall for the past few weeks, but long work days (and evidently lots of beer?) seemed to keep things from backsliding too badly. Back on the wagon, starting today...
      • Other. Played some DD Poker on airplane rides, which I'm still finding instructive, but otherwise there’s nothing really worthwhile reporting here.
  • Technique:
    • Preflop. I have been pondering the whole idea of starting hand selection and the fact that it’s so damn easy to get yourself in a world of hurt by getting involved in marginal situations in tournaments when not deep stacked. I also continually relearn the lesson that when you make a bad decision in poker you have immediately lost, even if you win the hand (I blogged about it here in a bug tip). As a thought experiment on this latter concept, I imagined a poker game in which the hand would be decided immediately after the preflop action was complete, but before the flop was dealt. In other words, if you make a bad decision (e.g., opening a trap hand in EP and then calling a RR by someone strong who has position) you lose the hand, regardless of whatever the flop brings. This is the essence of playing proper poker; the results don't matter; the decisions you make are everything. The next time you sit down to play, try this: Imagine immediately forfeiting any money you put into the pot when play a hand counter to what you should do. You open AJo UTG at a table of LAgs? That money is gone and you wait for the next hand. Call a LP steal attempt with 22 in the BB? That money is just taken away and you don't get to see a flop. Seriously, if this doesn't change how you play poker, nothing will.
    • REDi. The idea of good decisions = winning, and bad decisions = losing can be extended to post flop play, too. Poker is all about making the right decisions, not the results of a hand. Lather, rinse, repeat a couple million times. You'll eventually understand this. Or not.
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control. Aside from playing unprepared a few times, no real tilt issues to talk about here.
    • BRM. Same story as last week: I’m playing well within ‘roll in STSnGs and MTTs, but I’m playing too high in cash, especially now that I’ve cashed out most of my online bankroll.
    • Discipline. Played tired a few times when I shouldn’t have, but in general I played pretty solid, disciplined, perfect poker otherwise.
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). Played three $11 STSnGs and one $11 MTT online. Didn’t cash in any of these, for a net loss of $44.
  • Tournaments (Live). None played.
  • Cash Games. Played a little more than 400 online hands in $25NL and $50NL for a net profit of $85, or about 35BB/100. Not a lot, but given that I was on a biz trip for the week, not bad either...
Summary: In general it’s wasn’t a horrible week, especially given that I was sleeping poorly, eating poorly, drinking most nights, and certainly not exercising. I’m back in town for a week, then off again for a week of biz trip, then I’m off for vacation the remainder of the year. I need the break...


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, November 25, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week #13

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. Am using my preflight checklist more and more. Also, added an entry to it this week: "Wait for the cards to come; when the deck is cold, just be patient. Forcing things only makes things worse."
    • Postgame. Looked at a number of hands from previous STSnGs and MTTs that I've played this past year. The good news is I did some serious post-mortems. The bad news is that some of those hands died very ugly deaths to get themselves onto my autopsy table in the first place. Wow, how on earth did I think I was actually playing some of those hands properly at the time? FPS and slowplay seem to be the theme du semaine.
    • Off-Table.
      • Forums/Hand-of-the-Day. Didn't read any significant forum posts. I also didn't post any written responses to HoTD, but I did take the quiz every single day this week, and I was surprised (in a good way) that I agreed with the majority votes each time. 
      • Blog Entries. Posted two entries, one on cbetting, the other on DD poker sims.
      • Books. Continued poking away at WPT:OHaaT* V's 1 and 2, plus I cracked open V2 of HoH**. The odd things about re-reading Harrington is how, uh, dated some of the tactics are in light of the high skill level of your average player these days. Now, don't get me wrong-- the books are still chock full of gold, but some of the hand examples are, uh, well, uh, dated (this is the best word I can come up with). Against newbies and fish, I think the HoH advice would work fine, but against serious thinking players at today's tough tables... well, I'm not so sure any more. The WPT books in comparison seem much more in line with how the modern game is played.
      • Videos. Watched a short video on cbetting and went-to-showdown stats on the HM2 blog site. Good general stuff worth watching.
      • Podcasts. Downloaded three 'casts, but none were actually listened to this week.
      • Health. Hey, it's friggin' turkey week, okay? Okay!?
      • Other. I've been trying to play at least one DD Poker sim per day. As I mentioned earlier this week (here) I definitely see the benefit of getting in large quantities of hands via a simulator like this. Of course it's not the real thing, but I'm finding that I can try out different strategies against various types of opponents, including things like opening ranges, c-bet ranges, and so on. It also reinforces good habits if used properly. (Plus it's just plain fun to play.)
  • Technique:
    • Preflop. Tried out a bunch of different starting hand ranges in the DD Poker sims. Two things jump out at me: 1) you've gotta be *really* careful early in a big tournament not to ding your stack too badly chasing speculative hands-- pick your spots carefully; and 2) poker is *soooo* much easier when you've built up a big stack and can bully the rest of the table. :-)
    • Postflop. Worked on cbetting strategies and ideas.
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control. No significant tilt issues to speak of this week.
    • BRM. Playing well within bankroll in tourneys, but am pushing the envelope a bit in cash games.
    • Discipline. Had a couple of good cash sessions where I was extremely focused and actively worked on position, starting hand selection, putting players on ranges, etc., and it really paid off. 
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). Played only three small stakes STSnGs, but made a net profit of $35 for the effort.
  • Tournaments (Live). None played.
  • Cash Games. Didn't play much, but when I did I crushed the games. Added about $100 to the 'roll this week in about five hundred hands of play over about four hours total. I'm going to cash out much of my online moola this coming week, as the online 'roll is getting big enough that it would now hurt if the feds decided to raid the Merge site, a'la Black Friday. Fool me once, shame on you....  Anyway, here's a graph of a typical day I had at the cash tables this week:
Can't complain when your daily cash graphs look like this. Even better is that most of the profit is red line money; meaning I'm getting other players off their hands a lot more than usual and not relying on showdowns to win. Strict Preflop Hand Selection  + Discipline + REDi + Aggression = $$$
Summary: Honey-do lists, family meals (prep, eating, clean-up, and napping(!)), and other projects took much of my free time away. When I did play, however, I was fairly pleased with my results..... ah, but next week will be tough to keep this up, as I'm traveling yet again.  I probably won't play much while away, but I do intend to work on poker studying, and of course run a bunch more sims on the airplane. I also need to spend at least some of my off-work time dropping the pounds I gained this week. Ugh.


All-in for now...
-Bug
*WPT:OHaaT: Winning Poker Tournaments: One Hand at a Time
**HoH: Harrington on Hold'em

Monday, November 5, 2012

TV Poker: Lessons from Greg Merson


"Think like a casual player;  Play like a casual player; Expect the results of a casual player. "
-Uncle Wobble

Us diehards that watched the final two days of this year's WSOP Main Event got more than we bargained for. Deep stack final table play by six (of nine) really good poker players. Great laydowns, creative bluffs, lots of 3- and 4-betting, and strong, aggressive play. Even the three, ahem, less than stellar players (Gee, Esposito, and Koroknai) at least gave us creative, entertaining poker and lots to talk about. The only real downside was the length of the event. Hell, the last "day" took twelve full hours to play down from three to the eventual winner, Greg Merson.

Which brings me to the reason for this post: lessons from the final table. Or, more to the point, There were a couple of MTT-specific lessons I took away from watching some of from hands that Merson was involved with:
  • Lesson 1: Have Patience Grasshopper-- and Fold. On day one, Thomas opens in EP with A-A to 750K. Balsiger has A-Ko and just flats the 750K*. It folds to Greg Merson, who 3bets Q-Q to 1.85M. It  folds around to Jessie Sylvia, who picks a terrible time to make a move with a 4bet with T-5o. He bumps it up to 4.6M.  It folds back to Russell, who shoves all-in**. Everyone folds, including Merson with his Queens.  Okay, so this may not seem like such an earth-shattering lay down, as folding Q-Q PF this deep stacked is the right, safe play, but I have to admit I've gone broke with this same hand a number of times in similar situations because I got impatient and/or      married to the ladies. Merson clearly was worried about KK or AA here, and made the right play. The take away for me from this hand is to play patiently, and don't be afraid to go with fearful reads and big laydowns when the tourney is a high PF event.
  • Lesson #2: Take the Beats in Stride. On another hand, Sylvia opened with a 2M bet and Merson raised to 4.8M. Sylvia responded by 4betting to 10.2M. Merson thought for a minute but then moved all-in, having Sylvia’s 42M easily covered. Sylvia snap-called*** and tabled A♥ K♠ but was in a world of hurt against Merson’s K♦ K♥.  The board ran out 5♣ 3♠ 2♦ 8♥  4♥, completing Sylvia’s wheel on the river and giving him the massive 85 million chip pot and the chip lead. I would have been tilted, but Merson didn't seem to even flinch. In fact, on the very next hand he was back to the process of grinding his stack back up as if nothing had happened. RDM, baby, RDM.


All-in for now…
-Bug
*This was an unconventional play, and it ended up working out for Balsiger in the end, but I'd love to know why he didn't 3bet with the hand to isolate. Big Slick plays so much better heads-up than MW. Maybe he put Thomas on a big hand (QQ+ and AQ+ for instance), and wanted to reevaluate on the flop. Or maybe he was hoping someone would squeeze, and then he'd move in. Dunno.
** Another thing that surprised me in this hand was the way Thomas played his AA. Yes, the safe play is to 5bet shove the AA when the action gets back to you, as you're probably assuming that somebody has KK, but if so, why drive them off their hand with such a huge bet? A min 5bet raise would look strong, too, but one of the AK or QQ/KK-type hands might feel priced in. I also wonder how terrible just flatting, and then check-raising on the flop, would have been? Dunno. Shoving here seems like a I-want-to-take-this-pot-down-now instead of I-want-to-maximize-my-EV-with-my-rockets play.
*** I know that AKo is a monster short-handed, but you're risking your tournament life calling an all-in. There's a really good chance you're flipping here against Merson's range, so does it really make sense? I know a lot of people with think I'm crazy for even suggesting this, but I wonder nonetheless. 

Sunday, November 4, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week #10

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. Let's start by saying this week was mostly a bust for WSOP preparation in terms of actual poker play. I've had a number of home issues and projects that required my attention, and frankly when I had time to play I just didn't feel like it.... and you know what? That's actually a good thing. Don't play when you're not mentally ready to do so.... but still, it's a little worrisome that I'm hardly playing any real poker these days.
    • Postgame. See above.
    • Off-Table.
      • Forums/Hand-of-the-Day. Posted one HotD analysis on this blog (here).
      • Books. Continued reading Winning Poker Tournaments, One Hand At A Time, volumes 1 and 2 (I'm bouncing back and forth, picking random hands and working them through). I've stalled in Snyder's second book, but I think part of that reasons is simply that I haven't had significant amounts to time to really dive into his book and work through a chapter; his books really aren't meant to be read piecemeal.
      • Videos. Watched the third video in the live tells videos I picked. More "meh" information. FWIW, the company/guy I bought them from sent me a SurveyMonkey form to fill out, which I did in complete, unfiltered honesty. He's probably never going to send me another email again...
      • Podcasts. Listened to the start of  Bart Hanson 'cast in which he's interviewing "Limon," who is a SoCal live PLO expert. Yes, it's Omaha, but it's still very interesting stuff.
      • Health. Was doing fairly well until the day after Halloween, in which I found too many opportunities at work to eat candy that coworkers brought in. Then I went out to dinner Saturday night and ate way too much again. Compounding issues is the fact that my adult son is living with us, which means my wife is cooking more carb-laden meals in the evenings than she usually does for just the two of us. Exercise has also suffered a bit this week due to busy life stuff. The worst news is I'm heading off early this morning for a week long biz trip; it's gonna be tough both exercising and eating right for the next five days.
      • Other. Watched the WSOP final table, both days. I confess I gave up after about 5 hours into day two, as it seemed like it would never end 3-handed. There were lots of interesting hands to chew over, and it felt to me like some of the latter plays were heavily influenced by sheer fatigue. Jesse Sylvia's final call all-in with QJs for instance, or Koroknai's meltdown with KQo. Ask both of them about those hands a few days later after they've rested up, and I doubt either would make the same play again. This is the chief reason I've included "health" as a category for prep I'm tracking/working on; a WSOP event is a marathon.
  • Technique:
    • Preflop. Nada.
    • REDi. Wrote a couple of posts on post-flop play, including one on c-betting, and another on the fallacy of "protection" bets in cash games. This is good mental exercise, but I really need to spend more time thinking/writing about MTT strategy in the future, and less on cash games.
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control. Another week in which I didn't play enough to actually tilt.
    • BRM. No problemos in this department.
    • Discipline. Wrote a quick Bug Tip on Paying Attention. Otherwise, nada.
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). Played three micro-stakes Turbo STSnGs this week; took one first, one third, and bubbled in the other. Total profit was just $8. Woo. Pee.
  • Tournaments (Live) None played.
  • Cash Games. Played a little $50NL 6max on one day and made about $40 overall.

Summary: I'm simply not playing much poker these past few weeks, and while it's been OK thus far, I'm starting to get a little worried that I'm not making enough time for hands-on play. Yes, I'm doing a lot of reading, studying, and note-taking, but actual seat time is woefully inadequate. Worse, the next two months will see me away on a total of four one-week long biz trips, plus 3 weeks of vacation time. It's going to be really, really tough to stay the course. My goal in fact is to just survive until the new year, and then double down on training, health, etc. at that point; the next two months are going to be mostly about survival.


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, October 28, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week #9

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. Barely played this week; played zero cash, and only got in four STSnGs. The bad news is in each SnG, I basically just jumped into registering, did zero prep, and played. The good news is I won three of the four, and bubbled in the fourth, but this definitely not a long-term recipe for success. 
    • Postgame. The only post-mortem work I did was when I spent a little time examining my HM2 stats with a confused look on my face. There seems to be some error in HM2's calculation of some of the numbers, notably ITM and ROI.  I need to chase this down, but at first blush it feels like HM2's ability to handle tournament data is still screwed up.
    • Off-Table.
      • Forums/Hand-of-the-Day. Believe it or not, I'm still taking heat from readers on the KQs HotD I blogged about two weeks ago (here). Even the Guru has weighed in. After a lot of thought and debate, I'm now convinced more than ever that my answer of folding was the right play.... but this is what makes poker such a great game; you can spend hours discussing and arguing a single hand, and there can be multiple "right" answers. I just happen to think that my answer is more right than other peoples' answers. :-)
      • Books. Downloaded Volume 3 of Winning Poker Tournaments, One Hand At A Time. It was mentioned, but not specified, on the list of must-read MTT books I'd blogged about here. I'm enjoying/learning so much from re-reading the first two volumes in this series that I went ahead and ordered the Kindle version. There's no substitute for playing, but reading hand analysis (and then taking active notes about what I've read) is definitely improving my thought process on MTT hands. Same with videos and podcasts. Hell, I think watching the highly edited/canned WSOP and WPT events on TV can actually teach about the game if you pay attention. Lol, kind of reminds me of this scene from Days of Thunder
        • Harry Hogge: What do you know about stock car racing? 
        • Cole Trickle: Well... watched it on television, of course. 
        • Harry Hogge: You've seen it on television? 
        • Cole Trickle: ESPN. The coverage is excellent, you'd be surprised at how much you can pick up. 
        • Harry Hogge: I'm sure I would. 
      • Videos. Watching the Body Language Blueprint series. I've sat through the first three episodes of the Fundamentals course so far. The first one was reasonably OK, with some good tips. The next two (voice and proxemics) basically suck. Very short, little content, and very unprofessional delivery, with lots of ramblings, "uhs" and "mmm's", poor video, and all-over-the-map delivery.  I'll watch the remaining vids in the series, but I'm not expecting anything great. Don't waste your time or money on this series.
      • Podcasts. Bart Hanson's DeucePlays Premium podcast is now defunct. This has been the only podcast that I've ever paid for ($9 per month). The good news is he's forging off on his own, and he got the new subscription podcast up and running late in the week (can be found at www.seatopenpoker.net for those interested). I listened to half of the first inaugural 'cast, and the good news is that it looks like Hanson will continue in style and format as before; these are truly excellent poker strategy discussions, and well worth the money. I also listened to Thinking Poker, in which they had Vanessa Selbst discuss her life a little and some poker strategy. The interesting thing about this one was a) her statement that her lifetime ROI in tournaments (online and live) is north of 350% (to which I say, "WOW!"); and b) what she thinks truly separates her from lesser opponents in MTTs is her meta-game approach to winning. Her focus is on "tricky" play that over-emphasizes range balancing and confusion in her opponents. She said she can sometimes get too tricky, but her goal is to give 3-4 players at her table serious headaches. If she's done that, then she's done her job. Interesting.
      • Health. Made some good strides on the health front, dropping a few more pounds this week. For the first time in years, I'm actually under 200#, and I started wearing one size smaller pants. Amazing what a little diet and exercise can do. Blood pressure and resting pulse are also down significantly since I started this push two months ago. I still have a long way to go, but I'm encouraged. Like poker bankroll management and discipline, the key to weight loss is to a) chip up (pound down) in slow incremental steps; and b) don't make big mistakes or jump into games too big for your 'roll (or meals too big for your smaller pants ;-) ) Seriously, the biggest danger I have in the near future is two 1-week long biz trips, followed by Thanksgiving week, another trip after that, and then the Xmas/New Years holidays. Discipline, discipline, discipline is gonna be required....
      • Other. Continued getting more organized in laying out training and studying materials, documenting notes, and reviewing them. As mentioned before, I'm primarily using OneNote to stay organized, and I am almost satisfied with the system of note taking I've developed; it's surprisingly difficult to come up with a way to a) collect all the bits and pieces of strategy, tactics, etc. I come across reading/listening/watching/studying; and b) do so in a way that makes it easy and productive to go back and review and distill them all down.
  • Technique:
    • Preflop. Was a little more "gambly" than usual in the four STSnGs I played, opening up my game from LP early in all the sessions. I need to spend some time dissecting those games to see if this is really a good thing for me to continue doing, or whether it was a fluke.
    • REDi. Worked a fair bit off-table on this, organizing notes, watching videos focused on Reads, running some Flopzilla and PokerStove simulations, etc.  Good, productive week.
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control. Didn't play enough to tilt, lol.
    • BRM. The 'roll is still fine for the ST and MTT buy-in stakes I'm playing.
    • Discipline. I think I've done a pretty good job focusing and paying attention during play. I do, however, need to work harder on my reads of player states of mind in tourneys.
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). Went 3 for 4 in low-stakes STSnGs for a net profit of $37 added to the 'roll. Good ROI and ITM, but I really need to play at higher stakes (which means I need to find more time to play (i.e., so I can play against tougher opp, focus better, do actual pre-game prep, post-game reviews, etc...) )
  • Tournaments (Live) None played.
  • Cash Games. None played.

Summary: I played very little actual poker this week, but still felt like I've made some strides in my game. Weird. Less is more?  The biggest upcoming issue is the hectic holiday and biz-travel season for me, which will conspire to wreck my health gains and limit my table and studying time. Added to the mix is the fact that my adult son's company folded and laid off everyone, so we now have a short/long-term "guest" living with us while he looks for another job. I intend to be as disciplined as possible over the next few months, but the realist in me recognizes that just surviving through Xmas will be an achievement.


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, October 21, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week #8

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this past week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. Played in only a couple of tourneys, but I went very deep in one of them (a small stakes 250-man event) last Sunday. This deep run was due, in large part, to my pre-game mantra that I kept repeating throughout the game: Fold unless there's a very good reason not to. Fold, Bug. Fold, dammit. Why wouldn't you fold, knucklehead? Come on already and FOLD! Etcetera.
    • Postgame. Reviewed a couple of key hands from the MTT, especially those where I started to get "thirsty" for chips well after the bubble burst. I'm not sure what if anything I could have done differently, however.
    • Off-Table.
      • Forums/Hand-of-the-Day. Blogged about one hand of the day, which was the one where I concluded folding KQs from the blinds was the right play in a MTT against a shorter stacked player raising from LP. You can read it here. It is interesting to note that I received a number of emails from 4-5 readers who strongly disagreed with me, but after a lot of thought, I'm sticking with my original answer. Fold unless there's a very good reason not to. In this particular hand, there isn't a very good reason to call.
      • Books. I read some more of both Snyder's second book and the Winning Poker Tournaments book, Volume 1. My wife also picked me up a used poker book at the local library book sale she frequently goes to. The book is Hold'em on the Come: Limit Hold'em Strategy For Drawing Hands, by Slotboom and Mason. I'm not really a limit guy, but the book looks really interesting regardless. In fact, I posted a Bug's Tip on missed draws that hit me like an "a-ha!" moment after skimming the book. You miss your draws on average 2/3's of the time, so how are you going to make money off of them? Good question.
      • Videos.Watched the start of a cheap set of videos I purchased on live tells. So far it's just "meh" but I'll stick through them and see what I can divine..
      • Podcasts. Listened a bit to a Vanessa Selbst "video" that was in fact effectively just a podcast (i.e., a video without any pictures; weird.). Selbst is one of my favorite players, so it was informative to listen to her talk with another MTT expert about 3- and 4-bet ranges in MTTs. Also listened to Hanson's weekly podcast, plus some of the Thinking Poker 'cast. All good stuff.
      • Health.Tough week to stay the course due to long work days and "design review food" which is typically high-carb, empty calorie fests, including donuts, bagels, pastas, cookies, etc... We also did a big group meal one night, in which I over did it on rich Mexican food and beer. I did a modicum of exercise, however, and jumped back on the wagon hard Friday and Saturday. The scales this morning show I'm actually down another pound overall this week, which surprised me, as did my slightly lower blood pressure and resting pulse rate. Overall, I've dropped about ten pounds since starting this WSOP prep process.
  • Technique:
    • Preflop. As mentioned above, I played a moderately-sized, low stakes 250-man tourney this past weekend and went very deep, nearly final tabling. A large part of my success was just not getting involved preflop with marginal hands like KJs and QJo, even from the button in limped pots. I tried hard to focus on stack sizes and getting inside the heads of my opponents before making the choice to enter a pot. More often than not, the answer I got back from that little voice in my own head was: Fold.
    • REDi. 
      • Applied REDi to a hand of a day, which helped reinforce the Snyder's advice to "hang it up" if you don't get inside your opponent's head. One of the keys to doing this  is the evaluation of opponents' stack sizes and figuring out how desperate they are. As the old poker adage goes: figure out what your opponent wants, then do the opposite. 
      • Took some hand reading notes from the Thinking Poker podcast; good, basic stuff, which I blogged about here.
      • Posted a Bug's Poker Tip on missing draws, here.
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control. Nothing significant to report, primarily because I played hardly any poker.
    • BRM. Again, nothing significant to talk about.
    • Discipline. Words I try to live by, both on the tables and in life in general: "The difference between what you want, and what you have, is what you do."  I want to go to the WSOP next year, and I want to go deep. Ergo, I have a lot to do between now and then. It's really that simple.
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). 17th place for $60 in profit in a 250-man online tournament. Busted out with AKo. Was down to 12 big blinds and antes were well in force. I three-bet jammed on a MP limper, but got called by a huge stack in the big blind. He turned over JTs and hit a T on the turn. Sigh. It really is true that more often than not, you end up busting from a tournament with a pretty good hand. Small consolation, however....
  • Tournaments (Live). None.
  • Cash Games. None.

Summary: Despite it being a crazy busy week at work, and me only playing a few times, I feel like I actually made some progress on my game. There's still a lot of ground to cover, however, and I'm already two months into this prep for the WSOP.... Holy crap. Two months already?!? Time flies....


All-in for now...
-Bug

Sunday, October 14, 2012

WSOP-2013: Week #7

It’s Sunday, so time for a recap of this week's prep/progress toward WSOP-2013:
  • Preparation:
    • Pregame. Played a total of just three super turbos this week, with zero pre-game prep. 
    • Postgame.The only post-game review I did was after my live event on Wednesday this week, where I wrote down my impressions of what I did right and wrong. 
    • Off-Table.
      • Forums/Hand-of-the-Day. Skimmed a few forums a couple of times, plus I read every hand of the day, but I didn't contribute anything to either of these.
      • Books.Still reading Snyder's second book, which I'm really enjoying. The current chapter is on chip utility in slow-structure MTTs. The other book I try to touch every day for a few minutes is Winning Poker Tournaments, One Hand at a Time, volume 1. I highly recommend this series of books, too, as it really reinforces some key principles of decisions and estimations.
      • Videos.None watched.
      • Podcasts.Litstened to both Hanson's and Thinking Poker weekly podcasts.
      • Health.Lost about half a pound this week, all due to diet, as I basically did no real exercise (except for a few lunch-time walks).
      • Other. Nothing significant to report.
  • Technique:
    • Preflop.Nada.
    • REDi. Nada
  • Emotional Control:
    • Tilt Control.Nothing to report
    • BRM.No problems on this front to report.
    • Discipline.In a sense, I've done pretty well on this front, as I've had the discipline *not* to play poker after some really long, tiring days at work.
$ Results:
  • Tournaments (Online). Three super turbos played, moneyed in only one of them.
  • Tournaments (Live). Played one live $35 MTT. Busted in about tenth place out of 30 entrants.
  • Cash Games. None played.

Summary: My day job is basically consuming my life, and this coming week could be worse, with a huge review at work we've been prepping for occurring Tuesday-Thursday. I've worked 7 days a week for the past two weeks getting ready for this beast. The good news is that it this review prep madness ends this week. The bad news is I'm off on another week-long biz trip just a few days after the review. Little time for poker, little time for study, little time for anything but work, work, work.


All-in for now...
-Bug